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Red250
348277.5
265992.8
349574.2
Blue319
417172.2
5104B60.8
973125.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2482090100300400250319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2659
#11
92.81.3
79.981.2
Auto9.9
Teleop50.1
End32.9
blue by 32.5
973
#2
125.36.0
107.0113.0
Auto26.6
Teleop63.5
End35.2
Second
3482
#32
77.51.3
78.279.5
Auto9.2
Teleop36.2
End32.1
red by 5.3
4171
#34
72.26.0
61.467.4
Auto10.3
Teleop27.2
End34.6
Third
3495
#43
74.21.3
72.573.8
Auto7.8
Teleop32.4
End34.0
red by 13.5
60.86.7
35.542.2
Auto7.2
Teleop33.3
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed47%Pressure oddsEarned