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Red305
385990.2
617470.6
5012104.1
Blue311
973125.3
5817C43.3
581783.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2572290100300400500600700305311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5012
#13
104.12.6
95.398.0
Auto8.2
Teleop44.2
End51.7
blue by 21.2
973
#2
125.34.3
113.0117.3
Auto26.6
Teleop63.5
End35.2
Second
3859
#19
90.22.6
92.495.1
Auto9.5
Teleop35.8
End44.9
red by 6.9
5817
#14
83.34.3
73.878.1
Auto13.3
Teleop38.7
End31.3
Third
6174
#23
70.62.6
52.955.5
Auto8.3
Teleop38.7
End23.6
red by 27.4
43.37.2
34.441.6
Auto4.5
Teleop19.8
End19.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed41%Pressure oddsEarned