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Red325
207397.2
1671B86.7
415977.3
Blue322
4255B82.1
265992.8
973125.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267287100200400500325322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.22.9
91.894.7
Auto15.7
Teleop44.5
End37.0
blue by 28.1
973
#2
125.31.8
117.3119.1
Auto26.6
Teleop63.5
End35.2
Second
86.73.2
84.687.8
Auto10.3
Teleop45.5
End31.0
blue by 6.1
2659
#11
92.81.8
83.585.3
Auto9.9
Teleop50.1
End32.9
Third
4159
#10
77.32.9
79.982.8
Auto8.3
Teleop37.9
End31.1
blue by 4.8
82.12.0
69.371.3
Auto7.8
Teleop37.2
End37.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed47%Pressure oddsEarned