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Red255
183682.1
265992.8
5012B75.7
Blue214
510479.0
971106.7
5817C43.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2402440100200300400500255214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2659
#11
92.81.8
85.387.1
Auto9.9
Teleop50.1
End32.9
blue by 13.9
971
#30
106.71.2
109.1107.9
Auto20.5
Teleop53.1
End33.2
Second
1836
#12
82.11.8
81.883.6
Auto6.0
Teleop37.4
End38.7
red by 3.1
5104
#31
79.01.2
88.387.1
Auto7.8
Teleop35.2
End36.1
Third
75.73.0
61.264.1
Auto7.7
Teleop33.8
End34.1
red by 32.4
43.31.9
34.032.1
Auto4.5
Teleop19.8
End19.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed7%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
2%Pressure oddsMissed40%Pressure oddsMissed