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Red270
265992.8
1323B100.3
3482B75.9
Blue190
425569.3
585266.2
973C66.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192187100150250270190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.36.0
66.472.5
Auto16.1
Teleop48.2
End35.9
red by 30.9
4255
#28
69.32.7
49.646.9
Auto8.5
Teleop33.8
End27.0
Second
2659
#11
92.86.0
73.979.9
Auto9.9
Teleop50.1
End32.9
red by 26.3
973C
#24
66.521.0
66.545.6
Auto6.4
Teleop28.8
End31.2
Third
75.926.7
75.949.1
Auto11.2
Teleop41.0
End23.7
red by 9.7
5852
#35
66.23.7
81.477.7
Auto5.3
Teleop30.2
End30.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
4%Pressure oddsEarned4%Pressure oddsMissed