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Red200
281365.3
973C66.5
594090.6
Blue190
665739.3
2135B75.2
5012B75.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2231660100300400500600700200190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.60.7
79.378.6
Auto7.3
Teleop36.4
End46.9
red by 14.9
75.72.6
61.964.4
Auto7.7
Teleop33.8
End34.1
Second
973C
#24
66.51.0
67.566.5
Auto6.4
Teleop28.8
End31.2
blue by 8.7
75.22.6
70.072.6
Auto12.9
Teleop40.0
End22.2
Third
2813
#33
65.30.7
58.257.5
Auto5.7
Teleop34.5
End25.1
red by 26.0
6657
#29
39.31.7
33.335.0
Auto2.0
Teleop22.7
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed5%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
4%Pressure oddsMissed3%Pressure oddsMissed