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Red160
971C57.3
5817B23.0
3482B75.9
Blue284
4255B82.1
971B102.9
2073B52.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1302500100200300400500600160284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.91.6
64.265.7
Auto11.2
Teleop41.0
End23.7
blue by 27.0
102.95.9
98.6104.6
Auto18.6
Teleop37.3
End47.0
Second
971C
#38
57.31.6
53.054.6
Auto3.2
Teleop31.2
End22.9
blue by 24.8
82.14.1
75.179.2
Auto7.8
Teleop37.2
End37.1
Third
23.01.6
21.423.0
Auto8.4
Teleop20.1
End-5.5
blue by 29.7
52.74.1
48.652.7
Auto2.4
Teleop30.7
End19.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
11%Pressure oddsMissed17%Pressure oddsEarned