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Red492
971C57.3
1323139.8
973125.3
Blue290
971B102.9
617470.6
5012104.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378291100200500600492290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
139.81.1
139.7140.8
Auto32.5
Teleop62.1
End45.2
red by 35.7
5012
#13
104.10.3
103.8104.1
Auto8.2
Teleop44.2
End51.7
Second
973
#2
125.31.1
125.2126.3
Auto26.6
Teleop63.5
End35.2
red by 22.4
102.90.4
102.5102.9
Auto18.6
Teleop37.3
End47.0
Third
971C
#38
57.31.5
57.258.6
Auto3.2
Teleop31.2
End22.9
blue by 13.3
6174
#23
70.60.3
70.370.6
Auto8.3
Teleop38.7
End23.6