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Red486
207397.2
213589.3
1678135.9
Blue373
971106.7
594090.6
3482B75.9
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions368279100200400500600700486373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135.90.4
135.9136.3
Auto28.7
Teleop59.5
End47.7
red by 29.2
971
#30
106.72.0
103.6105.6
Auto20.5
Teleop53.1
End33.2
Second
97.20.4
97.297.6
Auto15.7
Teleop44.5
End37.0
red by 6.6
90.62.0
87.489.4
Auto7.3
Teleop36.4
End46.9
Third
2135
#27
89.30.4
89.389.7
Auto10.8
Teleop42.1
End36.4
red by 13.4
75.92.7
71.774.4
Auto11.2
Teleop41.0
End23.7