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Red210
254451.1
319361.7
5413103.4
Blue267
2252112.8
239988.2
629139.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2242600400600800210267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5413
#15
103.40.0
103.4103.4
Auto7.5
Teleop49.8
End46.1
blue by 9.4
2252
#25
112.80.0
112.8112.8
Auto17.8
Teleop45.3
End49.8
Second
61.70.0
61.761.7
Auto7.1
Teleop41.7
End12.8
blue by 26.5
88.20.0
88.288.2
Auto9.1
Teleop40.0
End39.1
Third
2544
#17
51.10.0
51.151.1
Auto9.2
Teleop30.3
End11.6
red by 11.2
6291
#18
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8