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Red310
239988.2
29189.3
265673.7
Blue280
5413103.4
254451.1
446772.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2692340100400500600700800310280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
291
#12
89.30.0
89.389.3
Auto7.5
Teleop42.5
End39.3
blue by 14.1
5413
#15
103.40.0
103.4103.4
Auto7.5
Teleop49.8
End46.1
Second
88.20.0
88.288.2
Auto9.1
Teleop40.0
End39.1
red by 16.1
72.10.0
72.172.1
Auto9.0
Teleop31.6
End31.4
Third
73.70.0
73.773.7
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End32.3
red by 22.6
2544
#17
51.10.0
51.151.1
Auto9.2
Teleop30.3
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds1%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds