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Red180
265673.7
124856.3
170861.8
Blue188
332484.1
2451117.4
478042.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1922670100300400500600700180188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.70.0
73.773.7
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End32.3
blue by 43.7
117.40.0
117.4117.4
Auto30.6
Teleop50.3
End36.5
Second
1708
#24
61.80.0
61.861.8
Auto5.3
Teleop31.5
End25.0
blue by 22.3
3324
#11
84.10.0
84.184.1
Auto7.2
Teleop39.3
End37.6
Third
1248
#23
56.30.0
56.356.3
Auto8.7
Teleop33.3
End14.3
red by 13.9
4780
#20
42.40.0
42.442.4
Auto7.1
Teleop26.0
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor odds2%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds24%Pressure odds