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Red310
254451.1
319361.7
5413103.4
Blue215
541885.5
265673.7
201082.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2242600100300400500600700310215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5413
#15
103.40.0
103.4103.4
Auto7.5
Teleop49.8
End46.1
red by 17.9
85.50.0
85.585.5
Auto7.6
Teleop22.2
End55.6
Second
61.70.0
61.761.7
Auto7.1
Teleop41.7
End12.8
blue by 21.2
2010
#19
82.90.0
82.982.9
Auto9.0
Teleop37.3
End36.6
Third
2544
#17
51.10.0
51.151.1
Auto9.2
Teleop30.3
End11.6
blue by 22.6
73.70.0
73.773.7
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End32.3