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Red322
629139.9
239988.2
2252112.8
Blue258
379101.5
2451117.4
426976.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24333404006008001,000322258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2252
#25
112.80.0
112.8112.8
Auto17.8
Teleop45.3
End49.8
blue by 4.5
117.40.0
117.4117.4
Auto30.6
Teleop50.3
End36.5
Second
88.20.0
88.288.2
Auto9.1
Teleop40.0
End39.1
blue by 13.4
379
#4
101.50.0
101.5101.5
Auto15.5
Teleop46.4
End39.6
Third
6291
#18
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8
blue by 36.2
4269
#22
76.10.0
76.176.1
Auto10.4
Teleop38.0
End27.7