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Quarterfinal 4-12017 Toluca Regional
Red195
472359.8
315855.2
569659.3
Blue95
594841.4
426247.3
478239.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182129010030040019595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4723
#36
59.80.8
56.9→57.7
Auto6.9
Teleop23.0
End29.9
red by 12.6
4262
#8
47.31.0
48.0→47.0
Auto4.8
Teleop27.7
End14.8
Second
5696
#18
59.30.8
56.4→57.2
Auto2.3
Teleop29.0
End28.0
red by 17.9
5948
#10
41.41.0
42.1→41.2
Auto5.0
Teleop22.0
End14.4
Third
3158
#5
55.20.8
52.3→53.1
Auto10.7
Teleop34.7
End9.8
red by 16.0
4782
#20
39.31.0
40.0→39.0
Auto4.0
Teleop35.4
End-0.2