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Red217
347261.6
379439.9
473555.9
Blue140
569659.3
513333.2
477534.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146110050200250300350400217140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.65.2
52.057.2
Auto7.8
Teleop29.9
End23.9
red by 2.3
5696
#18
59.32.7
53.756.4
Auto2.3
Teleop29.0
End28.0
Second
4735
#23
55.95.6
49.154.7
Auto7.2
Teleop26.3
End22.3
red by 21.7
4775
#28
34.22.7
31.434.2
Auto5.3
Teleop20.1
End8.8
Third
3794
#16
39.95.2
32.938.0
Auto2.9
Teleop15.8
End21.2
red by 6.7
5133
#17
33.22.7
24.427.1
Auto5.2
Teleop16.9
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed