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Red195
228348.0
588742.8
352740.8
Blue125
379439.9
660654.3
335446.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118160050200250300350400195125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2283
#24
48.02.3
42.945.2
Auto8.2
Teleop25.2
End14.6
blue by 6.3
54.30.6
56.355.7
Auto7.8
Teleop27.8
End18.7
Second
5887
#13
42.81.9
38.540.4
Auto5.6
Teleop23.8
End13.3
blue by 3.4
3354
#19
46.20.6
48.147.6
Auto5.8
Teleop28.3
End12.1
Third
3527
#22
40.82.1
36.138.2
Auto5.1
Teleop21.5
End14.1
red by 0.9
3794
#16
39.90.6
41.841.2
Auto2.9
Teleop15.8
End21.2