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Quarterfinal 3-12017 Laguna Regional
Red185
595943.7
552693.7
664788.9
Blue285
435578.6
666669.1
570548.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2561730100200300400500185285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5526
#3
93.71.0
95.4→94.4
Auto13.3
Teleop41.4
End39.0
red by 15.1
4355
#18
78.62.5
72.2→74.6
Auto10.6
Teleop32.6
End35.4
Second
6647
#5
88.91.0
90.7→89.7
Auto8.3
Teleop44.1
End36.5
red by 19.8
6666
#9
69.12.7
62.1→64.8
Auto8.2
Teleop37.5
End23.4
Third
5959
#25
43.71.0
45.5→44.5
Auto3.6
Teleop24.5
End15.6
blue by 4.5
5705
#31
48.33.0
40.5→43.5
Auto8.6
Teleop31.5
End8.2