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Red100
474640.3
463578.8
595943.7
Blue145
648343.1
650739.1
315894.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153161100200250100145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#13
78.83.7
82.979.2
Auto10.9
Teleop32.6
End35.3
blue by 16.0
94.80.2
69.869.5
Auto12.5
Teleop41.8
End40.5
Second
5959
#25Sur
43.75.6
39.033.4
Auto3.6
Teleop24.5
End15.6
red by 0.6
6483
#24Sur
43.10.4
44.043.6
Auto4.5
Teleop31.1
End7.5
Third
4746
#28
40.35.6
28.322.7
Auto2.4
Teleop19.2
End18.7
red by 1.1
6507
#34
39.10.4
34.534.1
Auto4.7
Teleop29.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed