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Red200
601020.2
552693.7
440066.6
Blue110
617061.5
587437.7
435578.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173156050100200250300200110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.72.8
67.270.1
Auto13.3
Teleop41.4
End39.0
red by 15.1
4355
#18
78.63.0
61.258.2
Auto10.6
Teleop32.6
End35.4
Second
66.62.8
59.061.8
Auto9.6
Teleop44.2
End12.8
red by 5.1
6170
#12
61.53.3
39.736.4
Auto7.8
Teleop34.6
End19.1
Third
6010
#35
20.24.2
35.639.8
Auto0.1
Teleop13.6
End6.5
blue by 17.5
5874
#23
37.74.5
49.344.8
Auto3.6
Teleop34.9
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed