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Red160
617061.5
460376.7
531242.1
Blue90
619959.8
663441.8
570548.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15811405020025030016090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4603
#14
76.70.7
72.973.6
Auto10.2
Teleop41.5
End24.9
red by 16.9
59.82.7
32.529.9
Auto7.1
Teleop35.0
End17.6
Second
6170
#12
61.50.7
43.944.7
Auto7.8
Teleop34.6
End19.1
red by 13.3
5705
#31
48.32.7
43.440.8
Auto8.6
Teleop31.5
End8.2
Third
5312
#11
42.10.7
27.127.8
Auto6.7
Teleop35.3
End0.1
red by 0.3
6634
#26
41.82.7
37.935.3
Auto4.8
Teleop32.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed