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Red203
379448.7
347275.5
670247.9
Blue115
617061.5
615629.9
463578.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16017504006008001,0001,2001,4001,600203115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.52.3
67.269.4
Auto12.2
Teleop33.7
End29.6
blue by 3.3
4635
#13
78.83.3
75.772.4
Auto10.9
Teleop32.6
End35.3
Second
3794
#21
48.72.3
49.051.2
Auto7.9
Teleop31.6
End9.2
blue by 12.8
6170
#12
61.53.3
44.741.3
Auto7.8
Teleop34.6
End19.1
Third
6702
#27
47.93.8
38.141.9
Auto6.6
Teleop40.6
End0.7
red by 18.0
6156
#32
29.95.5
44.238.7
Auto6.5
Teleop23.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed