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Red200
587437.7
315894.8
460376.7
Blue215
601762.3
570548.3
435578.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2231460100200300400200215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.80.1
74.874.7
Auto12.5
Teleop41.8
End40.5
red by 16.2
4355
#18
78.64.4
63.467.8
Auto10.6
Teleop32.6
End35.4
Second
4603
#14
76.70.1
74.674.5
Auto10.2
Teleop41.5
End24.9
red by 14.3
62.34.4
43.548.0
Auto7.3
Teleop32.6
End22.4
Third
5874
#23
37.70.2
52.151.9
Auto3.6
Teleop34.9
End-0.7
blue by 10.6
5705
#31
48.37.3
42.049.3
Auto8.6
Teleop31.5
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed