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Red110
587437.7
664788.9
379448.7
Blue140
347275.5
648343.1
640722.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2121430100300400500110140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.95.5
91.586.0
Auto8.3
Teleop44.1
End36.5
red by 13.4
75.50.3
67.166.8
Auto12.2
Teleop33.7
End29.6
Second
3794
#21
48.75.5
55.249.8
Auto7.9
Teleop31.6
End9.2
red by 5.6
6483
#24
43.10.5
53.553.0
Auto4.5
Teleop31.1
End7.5
Third
5874
#23
37.78.5
45.637.0
Auto3.6
Teleop34.9
End-0.7
red by 14.8
6407
#30
22.80.6
24.524.0
Auto-1.0
Teleop21.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed