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Red195
228374.5
664788.9
570548.3
Blue245
463578.8
509360.4
587437.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2201680100200300400195245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.91.1
86.084.9
Auto8.3
Teleop44.1
End36.5
red by 10.1
4635
#13
78.80.2
75.075.3
Auto10.9
Teleop32.6
End35.3
Second
2283
#20
74.51.1
68.167.0
Auto8.0
Teleop36.3
End30.2
red by 14.1
5093
#10
60.40.3
54.855.1
Auto2.6
Teleop32.8
End25.1
Third
5705
#31
48.31.8
47.946.2
Auto8.6
Teleop31.5
End8.2
red by 10.6
5874
#23
37.70.3
37.037.3
Auto3.6
Teleop34.9
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed