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Red318
440360.9
3478118.2
315894.8
Blue258
228374.5
347275.5
473568.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2942120100400500600318258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118.20.7
116.2116.8
Auto20.5
Teleop50.4
End47.4
red by 42.8
75.51.0
73.574.5
Auto12.2
Teleop33.7
End29.6
Second
94.80.7
92.793.4
Auto12.5
Teleop41.8
End40.5
red by 20.3
2283
#20
74.51.0
72.573.5
Auto8.0
Teleop36.3
End30.2
Third
4403
#19
60.90.7
58.859.5
Auto4.1
Teleop44.6
End12.1
blue by 7.1
4735
#15
68.01.0
66.167.1
Auto6.4
Teleop32.7
End28.9