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Red195
570548.3
666669.1
435578.6
Blue140
617061.5
619959.8
620070.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1932020100300400500195140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4355
#18
78.60.2
75.175.4
Auto10.6
Teleop32.6
End35.4
red by 8.6
6200
#17
70.01.4
69.668.2
Auto8.8
Teleop28.1
End33.1
Second
69.10.3
65.365.6
Auto8.2
Teleop37.5
End23.4
red by 7.6
6170
#12
61.51.1
61.260.1
Auto7.8
Teleop34.6
End19.1
Third
5705
#31
48.30.3
44.144.4
Auto8.6
Teleop31.5
End8.2
blue by 11.5
59.81.2
59.458.2
Auto7.1
Teleop35.0
End17.6