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Red305
567958.3
2974111.1
5511103.3
Blue235
585458.3
2640100.2
560755.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2892090100400500600305235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111.11.0
107.6108.6
Auto11.4
Teleop52.5
End47.3
red by 10.9
2640
#13
100.20.6
98.699.2
Auto6.9
Teleop42.0
End51.3
Second
103.31.0
99.8100.7
Auto14.7
Teleop41.4
End47.2
red by 45.0
5854
#21
58.30.6
56.757.3
Auto12.1
Teleop47.9
End-1.7
Third
5679
#14
58.31.0
54.855.8
Auto6.0
Teleop21.1
End31.2
red by 3.3
5607
#22
55.10.6
53.554.1
Auto3.9
Teleop29.7
End21.4