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Red255
97755.9
633489.0
493579.5
Blue200
122575.0
61978.2
397160.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2222270100300400500255200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.01.0
84.685.5
Auto10.5
Teleop39.9
End38.7
red by 10.9
619
#9
78.20.4
78.678.2
Auto6.8
Teleop32.6
End38.8
Second
79.51.0
75.176.0
Auto9.1
Teleop40.1
End30.3
red by 4.5
1225
#10
75.00.4
75.575.0
Auto8.6
Teleop38.8
End27.6
Third
977
#18
55.91.0
51.552.4
Auto7.9
Teleop31.3
End16.8
blue by 4.4
3971
#15
60.30.4
60.860.4
Auto3.4
Teleop34.1
End22.9