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Red150
600448.2
572751.6
585458.3
Blue515
97755.9
2640100.2
567958.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173169100150200250300350400500150515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5854
#21
58.32.6
68.766.1
Auto12.1
Teleop47.9
End-1.7
blue by 41.9
2640
#13
100.21.4
90.088.6
Auto6.9
Teleop42.0
End51.3
Second
5727
#19
51.62.9
45.642.7
Auto7.8
Teleop32.3
End11.5
blue by 6.7
5679
#14
58.31.4
32.531.0
Auto6.0
Teleop21.1
End31.2
Third
6004
#23
48.24.3
49.645.3
Auto4.6
Teleop25.1
End18.5
blue by 7.7
977
#18
55.91.7
38.937.2
Auto7.9
Teleop31.3
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed