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Red255
429173.3
2974111.1
572751.6
Blue235
587106.9
97755.9
265570.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241240200220260280255235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111.11.7
108.2109.9
Auto11.4
Teleop52.5
End47.3
red by 4.3
587
#4
106.90.5
107.6108.1
Auto6.7
Teleop52.6
End47.6
Second
4291
#24
73.31.7
72.073.8
Auto5.1
Teleop29.3
End38.9
red by 2.8
2655
#17
70.50.5
68.969.4
Auto9.2
Teleop27.9
End33.4
Third
5727
#19
51.61.7
48.650.3
Auto7.8
Teleop32.3
End11.5
blue by 4.3
977
#18
55.90.5
51.451.8
Auto7.9
Teleop31.3
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed