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Red145
476764.3
350672.0
663972.6
Blue305
493579.5
633489.0
97755.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230226150200250300145305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6639
#12
72.61.5
74.272.6
Auto8.9
Teleop28.8
End34.9
blue by 16.4
89.01.9
87.088.9
Auto10.5
Teleop39.9
End38.7
Second
3506
#11
72.01.5
73.672.0
Auto9.5
Teleop35.2
End27.3
blue by 7.5
79.51.9
77.579.4
Auto9.1
Teleop40.1
End30.3
Third
4767
#25
64.31.5
65.864.3
Auto9.7
Teleop33.0
End21.6
red by 8.3
977
#18
55.91.9
53.955.8
Auto7.9
Teleop31.3
End16.8