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Red255
265584.3
3196100.8
322997.3
Blue261
551193.3
650090.8
435107.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290282150200250350400255261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3196
#18
100.81.3
103.4102.2
Auto8.4
Teleop48.4
End44.0
blue by 6.6
435
#5
107.50.5
94.293.7
Auto15.3
Teleop45.4
End46.8
Second
3229
#19
97.31.3
92.791.4
Auto13.7
Teleop43.8
End39.7
red by 4.0
5511
#30
93.30.5
89.488.8
Auto13.5
Teleop40.5
End39.3
Third
2655
#24
84.31.3
78.076.7
Auto11.2
Teleop32.9
End40.3
blue by 6.4
6500
#14
90.80.5
85.484.8
Auto9.4
Teleop40.2
End41.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed