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Red435
493577.2
345980.9
600481.6
Blue255
672984.7
3737108.7
663973.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2262690100300400500600435255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.64.3
71.475.6
Auto8.4
Teleop37.3
End35.9
blue by 27.2
3737
#12
108.70.3
101.3101.6
Auto10.9
Teleop49.4
End48.4
Second
3459
#25
80.94.3
78.783.0
Auto10.0
Teleop39.9
End31.1
blue by 3.8
6729
#13
84.70.3
83.784.1
Auto11.7
Teleop31.5
End41.6
Third
4935
#15
77.24.3
70.574.8
Auto9.4
Teleop39.3
End28.5
red by 4.2
6639
#32
73.00.3
64.965.2
Auto6.2
Teleop33.3
End33.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed