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Red255
322997.3
633269.7
2642102.8
Blue253
90097.0
482968.2
3196100.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275298100150200250350400450500255253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.80.6
102.1101.4
Auto11.8
Teleop52.0
End39.0
red by 2.0
3196
#18
100.81.8
107.9106.1
Auto8.4
Teleop48.4
End44.0
Second
3229
#19
97.30.6
91.891.2
Auto13.7
Teleop43.8
End39.7
red by 0.2
900
#2
97.01.8
98.196.3
Auto16.2
Teleop44.6
End36.2
Third
6332
#22
69.70.6
70.770.0
Auto5.5
Teleop34.5
End29.7
red by 1.5
4829
#28
68.21.8
73.972.1
Auto8.3
Teleop35.5
End24.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed