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Red308
268296.1
585494.8
493577.2
Blue255
345980.9
600481.6
482968.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266239100200300400500308255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.13.9
92.196.0
Auto12.0
Teleop47.8
End36.4
red by 14.5
81.61.6
75.677.3
Auto8.4
Teleop37.3
End35.9
Second
5854
#17
94.83.9
82.486.3
Auto10.7
Teleop47.8
End36.3
red by 13.9
3459
#25
80.91.6
83.084.6
Auto10.0
Teleop39.9
End31.1
Third
4935
#15
77.23.9
74.878.7
Auto9.4
Teleop39.3
End28.5
red by 9.0
4829
#28
68.21.6
72.173.7
Auto8.3
Teleop35.5
End24.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed