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Red255
519087.8
600481.6
650291.2
Blue235
3196100.8
493577.2
633269.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272267220240260280300320255235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.20.2
89.589.3
Auto13.1
Teleop44.9
End33.2
blue by 9.6
3196
#18
100.81.3
102.4101.1
Auto8.4
Teleop48.4
End44.0
Second
5190
#21
87.80.2
86.286.0
Auto13.3
Teleop40.4
End34.2
red by 10.6
4935
#15
77.21.3
81.179.8
Auto9.4
Teleop39.3
End28.5
Third
81.60.2
82.482.2
Auto8.4
Teleop37.3
End35.9
red by 11.9
6332
#22
69.71.3
71.069.7
Auto5.5
Teleop34.5
End29.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed