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Red256
345980.9
650291.2
1533108.0
Blue370
2642102.8
322997.3
268296.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2973130100200400500600700256370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.01.9
108.2106.3
Auto13.1
Teleop46.5
End48.4
red by 5.2
102.83.3
100.6103.8
Auto11.8
Teleop52.0
End39.0
Second
91.21.9
89.087.1
Auto13.1
Teleop44.9
End33.2
blue by 6.0
3229
#19
97.33.3
97.9101.2
Auto13.7
Teleop43.8
End39.7
Third
3459
#25
80.91.9
87.685.7
Auto10.0
Teleop39.9
End31.1
blue by 15.2
96.13.3
97.3100.5
Auto12.0
Teleop47.8
End36.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed