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Red365
322997.3
4561116.1
90097.0
Blue250
1533108.0
435107.5
554492.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330331250300350400365250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.10.7
116.9117.6
Auto10.8
Teleop51.2
End54.0
red by 8.1
108.01.4
109.4108.0
Auto13.1
Teleop46.5
End48.4
Second
3229
#19
97.30.7
98.198.8
Auto13.7
Teleop43.8
End39.7
blue by 10.2
435
#5
107.51.4
108.9107.5
Auto15.3
Teleop45.4
End46.8
Third
900
#2
97.00.7
97.898.5
Auto16.2
Teleop44.6
End36.2
red by 4.3
5544
#20
92.71.4
94.192.7
Auto9.3
Teleop48.4
End35.0