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Red165
672950.0
554496.0
319686.6
Blue205
585468.7
621447.8
481655.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions229169100200300400500165205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.01.0
88.087.1
Auto10.8
Teleop47.2
End38.1
red by 27.3
5854
#12
68.70.8
67.468.2
Auto13.7
Teleop38.3
End16.7
Second
86.61.0
78.677.6
Auto11.5
Teleop35.4
End39.6
red by 30.8
4816
#20
55.70.8
54.555.3
Auto6.9
Teleop31.9
End16.9
Third
6729
#24
50.01.0
42.041.0
Auto8.3
Teleop28.1
End13.6
red by 2.2
47.80.8
46.547.3
Auto7.6
Teleop29.5
End10.7