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Red255
672950.0
554496.0
319686.6
Blue158
585468.7
621447.8
481655.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2281750100200300400500255158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.01.0
88.289.2
Auto10.8
Teleop47.2
End38.1
red by 27.3
5854
#12
68.70.3
69.068.7
Auto13.7
Teleop38.3
End16.7
Second
86.61.0
78.779.7
Auto11.5
Teleop35.4
End39.6
red by 30.8
4816
#20
55.70.3
56.155.7
Auto6.9
Teleop31.9
End16.9
Third
6729
#24
50.01.0
42.143.1
Auto8.3
Teleop28.1
End13.6
red by 2.2
47.80.3
48.147.8
Auto7.6
Teleop29.5
End10.7