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Red111
621533.6
340258.7
319686.6
Blue120
397143.9
572745.6
493544.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1431220100200300400500111120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.62.4
44.942.5
Auto11.5
Teleop35.4
End39.6
red by 40.9
5727
#10
45.63.2
26.223.0
Auto8.0
Teleop30.5
End7.1
Second
58.72.4
52.049.6
Auto14.2
Teleop39.8
End4.7
red by 14.3
4935
#17
44.43.2
49.646.4
Auto5.6
Teleop34.4
End4.3
Third
6215
#30
33.62.4
36.033.6
Auto10.3
Teleop29.2
End-5.8
blue by 10.3
3971
#15
43.93.2
43.340.1
Auto4.8
Teleop32.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed