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Red110
567932.5
476745.9
621447.8
Blue165
572745.6
663962.7
319686.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118134050100150200250110165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6214
#9DQ
47.80.5
44.243.7
Auto7.6
Teleop29.5
End10.7
blue by 38.8
86.64.4
54.458.8
Auto11.5
Teleop35.4
End39.6
Second
4767
#11DQ
45.90.5
45.244.7
Auto10.1
Teleop33.8
End2.0
blue by 16.8
62.74.4
43.748.1
Auto8.5
Teleop31.2
End23.1
Third
5679
#29
32.50.5
24.924.4
Auto7.6
Teleop19.4
End5.4
blue by 13.2
5727
#10
45.64.4
27.231.6
Auto8.0
Teleop30.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed