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Red215
624042.6
368032.1
551853.2
Blue155
382246.2
621533.6
476745.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112136050200250300215155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5518
#14
53.20.6
34.635.1
Auto8.2
Teleop27.9
End17.2
red by 7.0
3822
#23
46.23.2
45.648.8
Auto9.8
Teleop27.8
End8.6
Second
6240
#27
42.60.6
45.245.8
Auto6.2
Teleop27.4
End9.0
blue by 3.3
4767
#11
45.92.8
42.445.2
Auto10.1
Teleop33.8
End2.0
Third
3680
#21
32.10.5
29.730.2
Auto3.9
Teleop21.6
End6.6
blue by 1.5
6215
#30
33.62.8
38.040.8
Auto10.3
Teleop29.2
End-5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed