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Red150
554496.0
382246.2
482939.5
Blue125
397143.9
319686.6
366124.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13413350100150200150125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.01.3
52.353.6
Auto10.8
Teleop47.2
End38.1
red by 9.5
86.60.4
43.743.2
Auto11.5
Teleop35.4
End39.6
Second
3822
#23
46.22.2
41.243.3
Auto9.8
Teleop27.8
End8.6
red by 2.3
3971
#15
43.90.4
47.547.0
Auto4.8
Teleop32.2
End6.9
Third
4829
#13
39.52.2
32.034.2
Auto8.5
Teleop30.9
End0.1
red by 15.3
3661
#26
24.10.4
37.737.3
Auto3.3
Teleop23.4
End-2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed