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Red255
321534.0
1533110.0
58794.1
Blue140
265576.9
340258.7
633243.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2681780100300400500255140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
110.00.3
111.7112.0
Auto12.1
Teleop52.3
End45.6
red by 33.1
2655
#19
76.90.9
77.776.8
Auto11.6
Teleop23.2
End42.1
Second
587
#2
94.10.3
95.796.0
Auto5.4
Teleop48.2
End40.4
red by 35.4
58.70.9
59.458.5
Auto14.2
Teleop39.8
End4.7
Third
3215
#25
34.00.3
34.134.4
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End1.5
blue by 9.5
6332
#28
43.50.9
44.243.3
Auto-2.5
Teleop24.7
End21.2