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Red255
600452.4
2642113.1
519094.9
Blue256
3196106.6
2059107.1
479561.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272305100150200250350400450500255256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.10.2
113.7113.5
Auto14.6
Teleop54.7
End43.7
red by 6.0
107.10.6
110.2109.6
Auto13.5
Teleop42.6
End51.1
Second
94.90.2
95.595.3
Auto12.8
Teleop38.7
End43.5
blue by 11.7
106.60.6
109.6109.0
Auto10.0
Teleop44.6
End52.1
Third
6004
#22
52.40.2
53.052.8
Auto5.0
Teleop24.0
End23.4
blue by 9.4
4795
#20
61.80.6
64.864.2
Auto7.9
Teleop28.5
End25.4