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Red295
600452.4
2642113.1
519094.9
Blue290
600365.1
624058.4
456199.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2742260100200300400500295290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.10.7
110.9111.5
Auto14.6
Teleop54.7
End43.7
red by 13.3
4561
#16
99.81.5
99.0100.5
Auto7.8
Teleop41.7
End50.3
Second
94.90.7
92.793.4
Auto12.8
Teleop38.7
End43.5
red by 29.8
6003
#15
65.11.5
64.365.9
Auto6.3
Teleop35.4
End23.4
Third
6004
#22
52.40.7
50.150.8
Auto5.0
Teleop24.0
End23.4
blue by 6.0
6240
#14
58.41.5
57.659.2
Auto7.7
Teleop28.9
End21.8