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Red235
379657.3
322992.8
373795.4
Blue355
516077.5
268282.6
650267.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261220100300400500235355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3737
#12
95.40.1
94.194.0
Auto9.7
Teleop48.2
End37.5
red by 12.8
82.62.0
77.979.9
Auto9.5
Teleop44.0
End29.1
Second
92.80.1
91.591.4
Auto12.4
Teleop39.3
End41.1
red by 15.3
5160
#11
77.52.0
72.874.8
Auto9.7
Teleop29.6
End38.1
Third
3796
#21
57.30.1
56.055.9
Auto5.5
Teleop28.2
End23.5
blue by 10.6
6502
#25
67.92.0
63.265.2
Auto8.3
Teleop41.4
End18.2