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Red195
482959.5
672965.6
456199.8
Blue140
90073.3
268282.6
591940.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191159050100250300350195140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#16
99.81.2
87.588.7
Auto7.8
Teleop41.7
End50.3
red by 17.2
82.61.1
58.457.2
Auto9.5
Teleop44.0
End29.1
Second
65.61.2
50.051.2
Auto8.7
Teleop31.1
End25.7
blue by 7.7
900
#28
73.31.0
63.262.2
Auto7.5
Teleop36.7
End29.0
Third
4829
#13
59.51.2
39.540.7
Auto7.2
Teleop32.3
End20.0
red by 19.2
5919
#27
40.31.0
33.932.8
Auto0.6
Teleop28.7
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed